ウィッチクエストのチャレンジ成功率


WQのチャレンジの成功判定は、能力値と同じ回数だけ2D6を振り、ゾロ目が出れば成功。
ゾロ目が出れば出るほど劇的な成功となる。

…ちょっと考えればわかるけど、(能力値)D6で6(もしくは1)が出る確率と一緒なんだよね。
これを2D6を何度も振らせるようにしたのがWQ(というかアップルベーシック)の凄いところ。
がんばってるという感じがひしひしと。

縦軸は能力値、横軸は成功レベルです。
まず、○レベル以上成功、になる確率。
横軸の0は失敗の確率。
 0123456789 101112131415
183.33%16.67%               
269.44%30.56%2.78%              
357.87%42.13%7.41%0.46%             
448.23%51.77%13.19%1.62%0.08%            
540.19%59.81%19.62%3.55%0.33%0.01%           
633.49%66.51%26.32%6.23%0.87%0.07%0.00%          
727.91%72.09%33.02%9.58%1.76%0.20%0.01% 0.00%        
823.26%76.74%39.53%13.48%3.07%0.46%0.04% 0.00%0.00%       
919.38%80.62%45.73%17.83%4.80%0.90%0.11% 0.01%0.00%0.00%      
1016.15%83.85%51.55%22.48%6.97%1.55%0.24% 0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%     
1113.46%86.54%56.93%27.32%9.56%2.45%0.46% 0.06%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%    
1211.22%88.78%61.87%32.26%12.52%3.64%0.79% 0.13%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%   
139.35%90.65%66.35%37.19%15.81%5.12% 1.27%0.24%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00% 0.00%  
147.79%92.21%70.40%42.05%19.37%6.90% 1.91%0.41%0.07%0.01%0.00%0.00% 0.00%0.00%0.00% 
156.49%93.51%74.04%46.78% 23.15%8.98%2.74%0.66%0.13%0.02% 0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%


つづいて、ちょうど○レベル成功、になる確率。
 012345678 9101112131415
183.33%16.67%               
269.44%27.78%2.78%              
357.87%34.72%6.94%0.46%             
448.23%38.58%11.57%1.54%0.08%            
540.19%40.19%16.08%3.22%0.32%0.01%           
633.49%40.19%20.09%5.36%0.80%0.06%0.00%          
727.91%39.07%23.44%7.81%1.56%0.19%0.01% 0.00%        
823.26%37.21%26.05%10.42%2.60%0.42%0.04% 0.00%0.00%       
919.38%34.89%27.91%13.02%3.91%0.78%0.10% 0.01%0.00%0.00%      
1016.15%32.30%29.07%15.50%5.43%1.30%0.22% 0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%     
1113.46%29.61%29.61%17.77%7.11%1.99%0.40% 0.06%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%    
1211.22%26.92%29.61%19.74%8.88%2.84%0.66% 0.11%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%   
139.35%24.30%29.16%21.38%10.69%3.85%1.03% 0.21%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%   
147.79%21.81%28.35%22.68%12.47%4.99%1.50% 0.34%0.06%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%  
156.49%19.47%27.26%23.63%14.18%6.24%2.08% 0.53%0.11%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00% 0.00%


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